Monday, November 12, 2007

Revisiting Supporting Actress Oscar Predictions, It's Time

Sometimes you buy green bananas, and think they'll ripen up just when you want them. Sometimes your dead on, sometimes your wrong and the banana goes in the fridge for banana bread.

What am I saying...back in April I decided to throw out a bizarre 5 of supporting actress nomination a category that is much tougher to predict then the best actor category has been this year (the list for best actor I put together in May is not that far off from most people's current predictions)

But whoa is my April Supporting Actress list poor...

  • Catherine Keener in Synecdoche, New York...nope, the film isn't even coming out until 2008. Her only chance would be if Into the Wild picked up major steam and picked her up with it.
  • Samantha Morton in The Golden Age...probably not, especially when Cate Blanchett's role in The Golden Age is hardly a shoe-in. If Morton get's critical recognition this year it could easily be for the bio-pic Control, rather than this Elizabethan role. I'd love to see Morton get her third Oscar nomination.
  • Mena Suvari in The Mysteries of's November and still no release date, no buzz, and no distributor. Not looking pretty.
  • Meryl Streep in Lions for Lambs...between the poor reception of Lions for Lambs and Rendition, Streep's 15th nomination looks like it may need to wait.
  • Vanessa Redgrave in Atonement...this one might actually happen, although with a smaller part the recognition could easily be shifted to her co-stars and/or co-selfs.

So of all those April potentials, let's look at a new set of top 5 predictions for mid-November.

My Supporting Actress Academy Award Predictions (November 13, 2007)
I want to include you, but I don't have room: Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton & Marisa Tomei, Before the Devil Knows Your Dead.

Other possibilities: Samantha Morton, Control (or Golden Age); Kelly MacDonald, No Country For Old Men; Romola Garai, Atonement; Jennifer Jason Leigh, Margot at the Wedding; Julia Roberts, Charlie Wilson's War.


Lorna said...

Amy Ryan broke my heart in Gone,Baby, Gone, which I almost missed because i hate the name.

J.D. said...

Saoirse '08! Whoo!

RC said...

is it bad that i know how to spell Saoirse but have not a single idea how i'd even go about pronouncing her name???

Terence Towles Canote said...

I favour Cate Blanchett in I'm Not There. Talk about a decidely different part...

kat said...

I thought Samantha Morton was fantastic in "Control"

J.D. said...

It's pronounced "Seersha".

Saoirse '08!

Anonymous said...

-Cate Blanchett "I'm not there"
-Amy Ryan "Gone baby gone"
Long Shots:
-Saorsie Ronan, "Atonement"
-Jennifer JAson Leigh "Margot at the wedding"
-Michelle Pffeifer "Hairspray"
-Samantha Morton "Control"
-Tabu "The namesake" (Why not?)
Dark horses:
-Evan Rachel Wood "In bloom"
-Jennifer Garner or Alison Janney "Juno"
-Marisa Tomei "BTDKYD"
-Tilda Swinton "Michael Clayton"
-Vanessa Redgrave "Atonement"
Who knows?...
-Kelly MacDonald "NCFOM"
-Susan Sarandon "ITVOE"
-Fernanda Montenegro "LITTOC"