Tuesday, October 03, 2006

Best Supporting Actor Predictions (for October)

The other day I mentioned that Jack Nicholson was in a good postion to recieve his 13th Academy Award nomination. Yet, it's not fair to pin point a random contender with out highlighting their competition.

Actually, the Supporting Actor race is interesting this year because there's a lot of possibilities, with few "locks." In fact, it's an open field, so I have taken some libery in my choices to go out on some limbs.

Predictions for Best Supporting Actor Nominationations
79th Academy Awards

Jack Nicholson, The Departed:

With 12 nominations under his belt, he's a favorite in a film directed by Martin Scorcese, another favorite film maker.

Adam Beach, Flags of our Fathers:
Eastwood, another Academy favorite film maker brings a patriotic story, with a unique character, and the star with the most buzz on his side. Obviously, a little tricky since there is so man supporting actors in this film, but I have a feeling the academy will be interested in honoring him for this performance.

Ben Affleck, Hollywoodland:
After winning the supporting actor award at Venice, Affleck became a real contender in this catagory. While the role was kind of weak in my opinion, it a role that Hollywood should surely appreciate.

Richard Griffiths, The History Boys:
Richard Griffiths is staring in the film which won him a Tony Award for Best Actor. Apparently, he's being campaigned for Best Supporting Actor, in a move that also worked for supporting actress Oscar winners who played Tony Award winning leads (Catherine Zeta-Jones, Chicago and Bebe Neuwirth, Cabaret).

Djimon Hounsou, The Blood Diamond:
So, what can I say, I think Hounsou's an awesome actor, especially in Gladiator and In America, for which he received an academy award nomination. There are a lot of films about Africa this year, but director Edward Zwick will surely do a good job of making Hounsou look good, as he did with Watanabe in The Last Samurai. I know no one else on the plant is predicting a Hounsou nomination, but come on, it's October, can I guy go out on a limb?

The Many Other Possible Supporting Actor Contenders:
* Eddie Murphy, Dreamgirls
* Robert Downey Jr., Fur
* Gael Garcia Bernal, Babel
* Brad Pitt, Babel
* Michael Pena, World Trade Center
* Steve Carrell, Little Miss Sunshine
* Alan Arkin, Little Miss Sunshine
* Freddy Rodriguez, Bobby
* Jackie E. Haley, Little Children
* Brian Cox, Running With Scissors
* Tobey Maguire, The Good German
* James McAvoy, The Last King of Scotland
*James Cromwell, The Queen
* Michael Caine, The Prestige

Recent Prediction Post:
Best Picture (Sept 22nd)
Best Actress (Sept 15th)

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Terence Towles Canote said...

I think this year is a hard one to call when it comes to Supporting Actor nominations. I think Nicholson will probably be a shoe in, but beyond that I can't really decide. Affleck got a lot of buzz for his turn as George Reeves in Hollywoodland, but whether that will be enough to get him a nomination I can't say.

Yaseen Ali said...

Apparently, there is a lot of talk happening now that Nicholson may be pushed to Lead because of the stellar reviews. It happened with Streep and Whitaker's campaigns, so I suppose it makes sense somewhat. Damon and DiCaprio aren't likely to be threats... ?

J said...

If Hammer-Time Haggis scores again at the Academy Awards I sincerely hope they'll sink to around the same level as the Golden Globes. My prediction is that his script for Flags of our Fathers will combine his formulaic twaddle from Million Dollar Baby and his thinly-disguised racism from Crash to form the ultimate in shameless awards show pandering.

Really looking forward to The Departed, Pan's Labyrinth, and Volver - less so, the pretentious indulgent Little Children, Inarritu's rendition of the exact same film for the third time, Babel, and Dreamgirls, uh, for obvious reasons.

Emma said...

Very interesting choices.

F.J. Delgado said...

Nicholson was awesome in The Departed and he should be the odds on favorite to land the Oscar.