Wednesday, February 20, 2008

I Was Wrong: Pre-Award Season Mis-thoughts.

Prior to last years Academy Award show I tracked through my previous post and found around 20 "predictions" of sort that were in accurate. That post can be found here. This year I've tried to be more careful. And my the time September rolesd around my predictions and thoughts really did make sense.

Here's my biggest blunders from 2007's film season.

February 20, 2007
Will Peter Morgan write another winner in 2007?
"I imagine than center stage actresses Portman and Johannson will be noticed for their work in this film, especially if 2007 is as weak for actresses as 2006 was, but I have to wonder if even more so Eric Bana will get a huge amount of buzz for his role as King Henry VIII."
This film being moved to a February 2008 release date, seems to suggest that Natalie Portman, Scarlett Johannson and Eric Bana are all excluded from any sort of winners circle in regards to this film.

February 23, 2007
The Golin Touch?
"Could [Steve] Golin help another international director [Gavin Hood] and his unique film [Rendition]?"
I also refered to Rendition in this post as "major critical award contenders." Having won no major awards, Rendition was not the film I had positioned it to be.

March 6, 2007 (and through out the year)
Real (Reel) People win Oscars
I loved writing the Real(Reel) People series, let me know if you would like to continue to see this series in 2008. But, this years awards have been highly literary, and many of these releases did not come out or barely made a splash. Of the 18 Real(Reel) Profiles I wrote, only Cate Blanchett and Marion Cotillard scored bio-pic nods this year in lead catagories.

March 22, 2007
Is a spot reserved for Reservation Road?
"Many of the front-runners people are already buzzing about seem logical, Sweeney Todd, Charlies Wilson's War, American Gangster, The Kite Runner, etc"
In the post I was right to be critical of the early buzz that Reservation Road was receiving, but look at the other films I picked as frontrunners. Yea, so maybe I should have been critical of the whole list.

April 28, 2007
Predicting the Best Supporting Actress Nominations in April
"Catherine Keener - Synecdoche, New York, Samantha Morton - The Golden Age, Mena Suvari - The Mysteries of Pittsburg, Meryl Streep - Lions for Lambs, Vanessa Redgrave - Atonement"
0 for 5

May 1, 2007
Vanessa Redgrave Nominated With a Co-Self?
Winslet and Stuart both got nominated for playing Rose (Titanic), Winslet and Dench both got nominated for playing Iris (Iris), but only one Briony (Atonement) got nominated and it was Saoirse Ronan.

June 28, 2007
Oscar Best Picture Predictions (June 2007)
"Best Picture Prediction: American Gangster, Atonement, The Kite Runner, Rendition, In The Valley of Elah."
1 for 5

July 13, 2007
Paul Haggis and In the Valley of Elah
"Paul Haggis' success hasn't seemed to stall out yet, which makes me think that his upcoming project In The Valley of Elah cannot be overlooked. Paul Haggis' involvement on the project made it an easy film for me to include in my best picture predictions I prepared a couple weeks ago."
Low box office, and only 1 surprise nomination certainly doesn't compare to the success of Million Dollar Baby, Crash, Casino Royale, or Letters From Iwo Jima.

July 27, 2007
Meryl Streep's 15th Nomination in 2007?
"Meryl Streep in Rendition or Meryl Streep in Lions for Lambs?"
Neither.

January 2, 2008
State of 2008's Original Song Nominations & My Predictions
"That's How You Know - Enchanted, Grace is Gone - Grace is Gone, Come So Far (Got So Far to Go) - Hairspray, Guaranteed - Into The Wild, Falling Slowly - Once"
2 for 5. Who would've guessed Enchanted would score 3 noms.

3 comments:

Jose said...

It's been quite the weird season.
Who would've thought EVER that Meryl would have 3 movies and not get even nominated for one of 'em.
The movies sucked of course, but even Blanchett got in for The Golden Age.

Fletch said...

Hmmm...thinking of the right way to say this..must use tact...can't be too harsh...um, you suck at predictions. ;) ;)

I'll have to throw my hat into the ring for '08 flicks pretty soon. Sounds like a fun thing to do.

Cinemaniac said...

Ahhhhh, any hope for The Other Boleyn Girl is nothing short of hysterical. Haha.

Yeah, I never bought Streep's chances. This year, sure. I'm doubly excited for her. But last year, I thought each project sounded like a flop.

Never bought Elah either, but I was on the TLJ lead train for a while. I did foolishly think Sarandon could sneak in, too.

I cannot WAIT for Synecdoche, New York =). But in that film, from -all- I've read, I've heard that it's Michelle Williams's role that's the baitiest. And I'm sure lots of sympathy will be on her side, a la Elizabeth Taylor, to at least score a nom sometime soon. Maybe. She has a bunch of projects this year with possibilities. Can't wait!

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